Analysis Time: 2024-11-15 21:45:34 UTC

RED Threshold Updates: 0
ALL Threshold Updates: 0
Ephemeris Updates: 0

Conjunction Assessment Bodies and Types

Body Name Type
1 Odyssey Active
1r Odyssey Active/Reference
2 Mars_Express Active
3 MRO Active
4 MAVEN Active
5 TGO Active
6 EMM Active
7 Tianwen1 Active
8 Phobos Natural
9 Deimos Natural
10 Mariner_9 Inactive
11 Viking1 Inactive
12 Viking2 Inactive
13 MGS Inactive
14 MOM Inactive

Red (Conjunction Data < 'Red' Thresholds and Event < 14 days from Analysis Time)

Bodies OXD value/limit (km) OXT value/limit (sec) CAD value/limit (km) Collision Probability CA Epoch (UTC-SCET)
None

All (Conjunction Data < 'All' Thresholds for <= 100 days)

Bodies OXD (km) OXT (sec) CAD (km) CA Epoch (UTC-SCET)
1-5 7.84 -224.81 137.83 2024-11-25 08:47:51
1-5 8.89 -194.88 117.60 2024-11-25 10:46:06
1-5 8.88 -194.95 131.61 2024-11-25 11:45:14
1-5 8.16 -170.06 99.89 2024-11-25 12:44:23
1-5 8.16 -170.12 115.84 2024-11-25 13:43:31
1-5 6.93 -146.11 85.26 2024-11-25 14:42:40
1-5 6.93 -146.16 100.25 2024-11-25 15:41:46
1-5 7.22 -119.13 71.58 2024-11-25 16:40:54
1-5 7.22 -119.17 82.53 2024-11-25 17:39:59
1-5 7.75 -87.94 53.96 2024-11-25 18:39:06
1-5 7.75 -87.98 61.75 2024-11-25 19:38:11
1-5 7.26 -55.07 32.09 2024-11-25 20:37:18
1-5 7.26 -55.11 39.45 2024-11-25 21:36:25
1-5 6.25 -21.89 20.50 2024-11-25 22:35:34
1-5 6.25 -21.92 16.80 2024-11-25 23:34:41
1-5 6.97 7.39 27.57 2024-11-26 00:33:52
1-5 6.97 7.36 8.74 2024-11-26 01:32:58
1-5 8.92 32.68 40.60 2024-11-26 02:32:08
1-5 8.92 32.64 25.22 2024-11-26 03:31:14
1-5 9.54 57.53 56.16 2024-11-26 04:30:22
1-5 9.54 57.49 42.91 2024-11-26 05:29:27
1-5 7.24 87.85 76.39 2024-11-26 06:28:34
1-5 7.24 87.82 64.83 2024-11-26 07:27:38
1-5 6.90 123.44 99.95 2024-11-26 08:26:47
1-5 6.90 123.42 91.75 2024-11-26 09:25:52
1-5 8.54 156.99 125.75 2024-11-26 10:25:02
1-5 8.54 156.95 117.80 2024-11-26 11:24:09
1-5 8.66 185.94 140.59 2024-11-26 13:22:26
1-4 -10.22 -2657.14 1731.97 2024-12-03 10:17:14
1-4 -9.55 4451.95 1235.43 2024-12-03 11:15:27
1-4 -0.99 -1616.36 1002.29 2024-12-03 14:06:46
1-4 2.18 5491.71 1685.53 2024-12-03 15:05:11
1-4 9.08 -577.23 328.67 2024-12-03 17:55:18
1-4 9.38 6537.02 2291.11 2024-12-03 18:56:15
1-5 8.99 -62.16 134.67 2024-12-12 01:50:33
1-5 8.99 -62.15 121.59 2024-12-12 02:49:36
1-5 6.20 -26.86 61.49 2024-12-12 03:48:48
1-5 6.20 -26.86 52.91 2024-12-12 04:47:51
1-5 6.82 5.87 18.47 2024-12-12 05:47:02
1-5 6.82 5.88 13.39 2024-12-12 06:46:05
1-5 8.88 42.55 74.61 2024-12-12 07:45:17
1-5 8.88 42.55 84.21 2024-12-12 08:44:19
1-4 11.28 -1838.86 726.59 2024-12-14 02:47:05
1-4 1.51 -798.73 383.69 2024-12-14 06:34:19
1-4 -4.87 245.38 2457.23 2024-12-14 09:20:01
1-4 -4.87 245.26 137.16 2024-12-14 10:21:49
1-4 -11.99 -5820.30 1832.47 2024-12-14 13:11:22
1-4 -13.85 1292.11 798.98 2024-12-14 14:10:08

Notes

OXD means "Orbit Crossing Distance". OXT means "Orbit Crossing Timing". CAD means "Close Approach Distance".

Data for active spacecraft and natural bodies are displayed in the tables above. Data for inactive spacecraft are not displayed, but they are available in the conjunction metric tables and plots, which have been stored in the output directory listed below. Data for reference trajectories are not considered for Red events, but are considered in the All section for events not covered by the predicts file. Reference trajectories use the same thresholds as the nominal trajectories.

The note after the probability value listed for RED events refers to the source of covariance data used for the probability calculation, with the following definitions:

C - Covariance data provided by the mission in OEM format.
P - A covariance converted from the RED threshold polynomial coefficients listed below.
N - No covariance data, worst case covariance assumed for this body.
No Data - Probability could not be calculated due to a lack of covariance data from both bodies.

For more information, please see the point of contact listed below.

Analysis time: 2024-11-15 21:45:34 UTC
Active spacecraft: Odyssey, Mars Express, MRO, MAVEN, TGO, EMM, Tianwen1
Natural bodies: Phobos, Deimos
Inactive spacecraft: Mariner 9, Viking1, Viking2, MGS, MOM
Output directory: /nav/home/jplmdnav/MADCAP/Mars/archive
Point of contact: MADCAP_Mars@jpl.nasa.gov
MADCAP build: 3.4
Monte Version: 167.2

Red Thresholds -- Polynomial Coefficients

Body Name OXD0 (km) OXD1 (km/t) OXD2 (km/t^2) OXT0 (sec) OXT1 (sec/t) OXT2 (sec/t^2)
1 Odyssey 0.0050 0.0013 0.0000 0.0705 -0.0411 0.0096
2 Mars_Express 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 10.0000 0.0000 0.0000
3 MRO 0.0877 -0.0315 0.0040 0.0100 0.4939 0.1500
4 MAVEN 0.5000 0.1000 0.0030 2.1000 0.4000 0.3300
5 TGO 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 10.0000 0.0000 0.0000
6 EMM 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 10.0000 0.0000 0.0000
7 Tianwen1 1.0000 0.0000 0.0000 10.0000 0.0000 0.0000
8 Phobos 20.0000 0.0000 0.0000 20.0000 0.0000 0.0000
9 Deimos 15.0000 0.0000 0.0000 20.0000 0.0000 0.0000

Red OX Distance Threshold = OXD0 + (OXD1 * t) + (OXD2 * t^2) [km]
Red OX Timing Threshold = OXT0 + (OXT1 * t) + (OXT2 * t^2) [sec]
where t = CA Epoch - Ephemeris File Submit Time (in days)

Red thresholds are based on 3-sigma values. Thresholds listed as "P" are based on a quadratic fit of the 3-sigma values as a function of time to the event. The polynomial coefficients used are listed in the table above. Lines for coefficients which have been updated since the last run are colored blue, and each line's body is marked with an "*". Thresholds listed as "C" are based on 3-sigma covariance data provided by the mission.

All Thresholds -- Constants

Body Name OXD (km) CAD (km)
1 Odyssey 10.00 100.00
2 Mars_Express 10.00 100.00
3 MRO 10.00 300.00
4 MAVEN 10.00 3000.00
5 TGO 10.00 100.00
6 EMM 10.00 100.00
7 Tianwen1 10.00 100.00
8 Phobos 45.00 100.00
9 Deimos 60.00 200.00

All OX Distance Threshold = OXD
All CA Distance Threshold = CAD

All thresholds are always constants. The constants used are listed in the table above. Lines for constants which have been updated since the last run are colored blue, and each line's body is marked with an "*".

Ephemerides

Body Ephemeris Submitted Begin End
1 p_m_od101628-101633_103106_v1.bsp 2024-11-11 22:31:58 UTC 11-NOV-2024 08:23:50 UTC 12-MAR-2025 23:58:50 UTC
1r p_m_od101454-101460_102571_v1.bsp_V0.1 Analysis Time 28-OCT-2024 01:07:50 UTC 27-JAN-2025 23:58:50 UTC
2 MOEM_241111OAS_PREDICT__0001.CR.bsp 2024-11-11 17:50:36 UTC 16-OCT-2024 21:30:05 UTC 25-NOV-2024 11:55:49 UTC
3 pf_psp_rec85797_85791_86567_p-v1.bsp 2024-11-14 17:08:16 UTC 14-NOV-2024 03:48:50 UTC 13-JAN-2025 16:03:50 UTC
4 trj_orb_22400-22401_22667_v1_mvn.bsp 2024-11-13 17:10:29 UTC 13-NOV-2024 04:30:50 UTC 23-DEC-2024 23:12:50 UTC
5 TOEM_241111OAS_PREDICT__0001.CR.bsp 2024-11-11 12:13:14 UTC 11-OCT-2024 23:58:50 UTC 21-DEC-2024 17:44:13 UTC
6 62_pred_20241018_20250318_od180_v1.xsp.bsp 2024-11-05 02:40:32 UTC 18-OCT-2024 06:13:50 UTC 18-MAR-2025 00:00:50 UTC
7 CCSDS_OEM_CM1_20241108064820_0001.bsp Analysis Time 08-NOV-2024 00:00:30 UTC 29-NOV-2024 00:00:00 UTC
8 mar097.2010-2029.bsp Analysis Time 29-DEC-2009 23:58:53 UTC 01-JAN-2030 23:58:50 UTC
9 mar097.2010-2029.bsp Analysis Time 29-DEC-2009 23:58:53 UTC 01-JAN-2030 23:58:50 UTC
10 Mariner9_240101_250101.boa Analysis Time 01-JAN-2024 11:58:50 UTC 01-JAN-2025 11:58:50 UTC
11 Viking1_240101_250101.boa Analysis Time 01-JAN-2024 11:58:50 UTC 01-JAN-2025 11:58:50 UTC
12 Viking2_240101_250101.boa Analysis Time 01-JAN-2024 11:58:50 UTC 01-JAN-2025 11:58:50 UTC
13 p_241103-251103-061219_10yr_nominal.nio Analysis Time 03-NOV-2024 05:28:50 UTC 03-NOV-2025 06:28:50 UTC
14 JPL_MOM_230601-250101.bsp Analysis Time 01-JUN-2023 12:00:00 UTC 01-JAN-2025 12:00:00 UTC

Ephemeris files for the bodies analyzed are listed in the table above. Files colored red have been expired. Files colored blue have been updated since the last run. Each line's body is marked with an "*".